Hawaii Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brian Schatz a 100% chance of winning the Hawaii Senate 2016 primary. Brian Schatz won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brian Schatz — 100% model odds (won)
  2. John Carroll — 0% model odds
  3. Joy J Allison — 0% model odds
  4. Michael A. Kokoski — 0% model odds
  5. John M. Giuffre — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts