Florida House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mario Diaz-Balart a 100% chance of winning the Florida House 2016 primary. Mario Diaz-Balart won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mario Diaz-Balart — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Alina Valdes — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts