Florida House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brian Mast a 56% chance of winning the Florida House 2016 primary. Brian Mast won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brian Mast — 56% model odds (won)
  2. Randy Perkins — 44% model odds
  3. Carla Spalding — 0% model odds
  4. Marilyn Holloman — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts