Florida House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kathy Castor a 100% chance of winning the Florida House 2016 primary. Kathy Castor won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kathy Castor — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Christine Quinn — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts