DC House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eleanor Holmes Norton a 69% chance of winning the DC House 2016 primary. Eleanor Holmes Norton won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Eleanor Holmes Norton — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Natale Stracuzzi — 31% model odds
  3. Martin Moulton — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts