Connecticut Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Richard Blumenthal a 95% chance of winning the Connecticut Senate 2016 primary. Richard Blumenthal won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Richard Blumenthal — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Richard Blumenthal — 5% model odds
  3. Dan Carter — 0% model odds
  4. Richard Lion — 0% model odds
  5. Jeffery Russell — 0% model odds
  6. Andrew Rule — 0% model odds
  7. John M. Traceski — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts