Connecticut House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Elizabeth Esty an 83% chance of winning the Connecticut House 2016 primary. Elizabeth Esty won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Elizabeth Esty — 83% model odds (won)
2. John Pistone — 17% model odds
3. Elizabeth Esty — 0% model odds
4. Clay Cope — 0% model odds
5. Clay Cope — 0% model odds
6. Ann-Marie Adams — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts