Connecticut House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jim Himes a 100% chance of winning the Connecticut House 2016 primary. Jim Himes won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jim Himes — 100% model odds (won)
2. John Shaban — 0% model odds
3. John Shaban — 0% model odds
4. Carl E. Vassar — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts