Connecticut House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joe Courtney a 100% chance of winning the Connecticut House 2016 primary. Joe Courtney won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Joe Courtney — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Joe Courtney — 0% model odds
  3. Daria Irene Novak — 0% model odds
  4. Jonathan Pelto — 0% model odds
  5. Daniel Reale — 0% model odds
  6. Elizabeth F. Traceski — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts