Connecticut House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John B. Larson a 100% chance of winning the Connecticut House 2016 primary. John B. Larson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John B. Larson — 100% model odds (won)
  2. John B. Larson — 0% model odds
  3. Matthew M. Corey — 0% model odds
  4. S. Michael Derosa — 0% model odds
  5. Charles Jackson — 0% model odds
  6. Mark Stewart — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts