Arizona House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Trent Franks a 61% chance of winning the Arizona House 2016 primary. Trent Franks won, matching the model's top pick.
- Trent Franks — 61% model odds (won)
- Mark Salazar — 39% model odds
- Hayden, Iii Keener — 0% model odds