Arizona House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Raúl Grijalva a 100% chance of winning the Arizona House 2016 primary. Raúl Grijalva won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Raúl Grijalva — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Bill Abatecola — 0% model odds
  3. Jaime Vasquez — 0% model odds
  4. Harvey Martin — 0% model odds
  5. Federico Sanchez — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts