Arizona House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tom O'Halleran a 46% chance of winning the Arizona House 2016 primary. Tom O'Halleran won, matching the model's top pick.
- Tom O'Halleran — 46% model odds (won)
- Paul Babeu — 37% model odds
- Ray Parrish — 17% model odds