Arkansas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave French Hill a 100% chance of winning the Arkansas House 2016 primary. French Hill won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. French Hill — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Dianne Curry — 0% model odds
  3. Chris Hayes — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts