Alaska Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lisa Murkowski a 100% chance of winning the Alaska Senate 2016 primary. Lisa Murkowski won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lisa Murkowski — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Joe # Miller — 0% model odds
  3. Ray Metcalfe — 0% model odds
  4. Margaret Stock — 0% model odds
  5. Breck A. Craig — 0% model odds
  6. Ted Gianoutsos — 0% model odds
  7. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts