Virginia Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark R. Warner a 95% chance of winning the Virginia Senate 2014 primary. Mark R. Warner won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mark R. Warner — 95% model odds (won)
2. Ed W. Gillespie — 5% model odds
3. Robert C. Sarvis — 0% model odds
4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts