Virginia House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robert Hurt a 69% chance of winning the Virginia House 2014 primary. Robert Hurt won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Robert Hurt — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Kenneth J. Hildebrandt — 31% model odds
  3. W. Lawrence Gaughan — 0% model odds
  4. Paul F. Jones — 0% model odds
  5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts