Texas House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jeb Hensarling a 100% chance of winning the Texas House 2014 primary. Jeb Hensarling won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jeb Hensarling — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Ken Ashby — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts