Tennessee House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Stephen Lee Fincher a 68% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2014 primary. Stephen Lee Fincher won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Stephen Lee Fincher — 68% model odds (won)
  2. Dana Matheny — 32% model odds
  3. Wes Bradley — 0% model odds
  4. Mark Rawles — 0% model odds
  5. James Hart — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts