Tennessee House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John J., Jr. Duncan a 69% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2014 primary. John J., Jr. Duncan won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John J., Jr. Duncan — 69% model odds (won)
2. Norris Dryer — 31% model odds
3. Bob Scott — 0% model odds
4. Casey Adam Gouge — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts