South Carolina Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lindsey Graham a 69% chance of winning the South Carolina Senate 2014 primary. Tim Scott won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Lindsey Graham — 69% model odds
- Tim Scott — 31% model odds (won)
- Brad Hutto — 0% model odds
- Brad Hutto — 0% model odds
- Victor Kocher — 0% model odds
- Thomas Ravenel — 0% model odds
- Scattered — 0% model odds
- Joyce Dickerson — 0% model odds