South Carolina House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mick Mulvaney an 89% chance of winning the South Carolina House 2014 primary. Mick Mulvaney won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mick Mulvaney — 89% model odds (won)
2. Tom Adams — 11% model odds
3. Tom Adams — 0% model odds
4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts