Pennsylvania House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bill Shuster a 100% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2014 primary. Bill Shuster won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bill Shuster — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Alanna Hartzok — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts