Oregon Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jeff Merkley a 79% chance of winning the Oregon Senate 2014 primary. Jeff Merkley won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jeff Merkley — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Monica Wehby — 21% model odds
  3. Mike Montchalin — 0% model odds
  4. Christina Jean Lugo — 0% model odds
  5. James E. Leuenberger — 0% model odds
  6. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts