Oklahoma Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave James Lankford a 52% chance of winning the Oklahoma Senate 2014 primary. Jim Inhofe won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. James Lankford — 52% model odds
  2. Jim Inhofe — 48% model odds (won)
  3. Matt Silverstein — 0% model odds
  4. Joan Farr — 0% model odds
  5. Ray Woods — 0% model odds
  6. Aaron Delozier — 0% model odds
  7. Connie Johnson — 0% model odds
  8. Mark T. Beard — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts