New York House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Collins a 47% chance of winning the New York House 2014 primary. Chris Collins won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Collins — 47% model odds (won)
  2. Chris Collins — 47% model odds
  3. Chris Collins — 5% model odds
  4. James D. O'Donnell — 0% model odds
  5. James D. O'Donnell — 0% model odds
  6. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts