New York House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thomas W., Ii Reed a 47% chance of winning the New York House 2014 primary. Thomas W., Ii Reed won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Thomas W., Ii Reed — 47% model odds (won)
2. Thomas W., Ii Reed — 47% model odds
3. Thomas W., Ii Reed — 5% model odds
4. Martha Robertson — 0% model odds
5. Martha Robertson — 0% model odds
6. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts