New York House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Elise M. Stefanik a 50% chance of winning the New York House 2014 primary. Elise M. Stefanik won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Elise M. Stefanik — 50% model odds (won)
2. Elise M. Stefanik — 50% model odds
3. Elise M. # Stefanik — 0% model odds
4. Aaron G. Woolf — 0% model odds
5. Aaron G. Woolf — 0% model odds
6. Matthew J. Funiciello — 0% model odds
7. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts