New York House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christopher P. Gibson a 39% chance of winning the New York House 2014 primary. Christopher P. Gibson won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Christopher P. Gibson — 39% model odds (won)
2. Christopher P. Gibson — 39% model odds
3. Christopher P. Gibson — 11% model odds
4. Sean S. Eldridge — 11% model odds
5. Sean S. Eldridge — 0% model odds
6. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts