New York House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sean Patrick Maloney a 39% chance of winning the New York House 2014 primary. Sean Patrick Maloney won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sean Patrick Maloney — 39% model odds (won)
  2. Nan Hayworth — 39% model odds
  3. Nan Hayworth — 11% model odds
  4. Nan Hayworth — 11% model odds
  5. Sean Patrick Maloney — 0% model odds
  6. Scott A. Smith — 0% model odds
  7. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts