New York House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael G. Grimm a 37% chance of winning the New York House 2014 primary. Michael G. Grimm won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Michael G. Grimm — 37% model odds (won)
2. Michael G. Grimm — 37% model odds
3. Henry J. Bardel — 17% model odds
4. Michael G. Grimm — 4% model odds
5. Domenic M., Jr. Recchia — 4% model odds
6. Domenic M., Jr. Recchia — 0% model odds
7. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts