New York House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kathleen M. Rice a 50% chance of winning the New York House 2014 primary. Kathleen M. Rice won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Kathleen M. Rice — 50% model odds (won)
2. Bruce A. Blakeman — 23% model odds
3. Bruce A. Blakeman — 13% model odds
4. Bruce A. Blakeman — 13% model odds
5. Kathleen M. Rice — 0% model odds
6. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts