New York House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steve J. Israel a 50% chance of winning the New York House 2014 primary. Steve J. Israel won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Steve J. Israel — 50% model odds (won)
2. Steve J. Israel — 50% model odds
3. Steve J. Israel — 0% model odds
4. Grant M. Lally — 0% model odds
5. Grant M. Lally — 0% model odds
6. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts