New York House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lee M. Zeldin a 50% chance of winning the New York House 2014 primary. Lee M. Zeldin won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Lee M. Zeldin — 50% model odds
2. Lee M. Zeldin — 50% model odds (won)
3. Timothy H. Bishop — 0% model odds
4. Timothy H. Bishop — 0% model odds
5. Timothy H. Bishop — 0% model odds
6. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts