Nevada House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steven A. Horsford a 95% chance of winning the Nevada House 2014 primary. Cresent Hardy won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Steven A. Horsford — 95% model odds
2. Cresent Hardy — 5% model odds (won)
3. Steve Brown — 0% model odds
4. Russell Best — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts