New Mexico House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michelle Lujan Grisham a 100% chance of winning the New Mexico House 2014 primary. Michelle Lujan Grisham won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michelle Lujan Grisham — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Michael H. Frese — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts