New Jersey House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Leonard Lance a 100% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2014 primary. Leonard Lance won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Leonard Lance — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Janice Kovach — 0% model odds
  3. James Gawron — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts