New Jersey House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scott Garrett a 67% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2014 primary. Scott Garrett won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Scott Garrett — 67% model odds (won)
  2. Roy Cho — 33% model odds
  3. Mark D. Quick — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts