New Jersey House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christopher H. Smith a 64% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2014 primary. Christopher H. Smith won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Christopher H. Smith — 64% model odds (won)
2. Scott Neuman — 36% model odds
3. Ruben M. Scolavino — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts