New Jersey House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Frank A. Lobiondo an 82% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2014 primary. Frank A. Lobiondo won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Frank A. Lobiondo — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Alexander H. Spano — 18% model odds
  3. William J., Jr. Hughes — 0% model odds
  4. Gary Stein — 0% model odds
  5. Constantino Rozzo — 0% model odds
  6. Bayode Olabisi — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts