North Carolina Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thom Tillis a 56% chance of winning the North Carolina Senate 2014 primary. Thom Tillis won, matching the model's top pick.
- Thom Tillis — 56% model odds (won)
- Kay Hagan — 44% model odds
- Sean Haugh — 0% model odds
- Scattered — 0% model odds
- John Rhodes — 0% model odds
- David Waddell — 0% model odds
- Barry Gurney — 0% model odds