Missouri House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sam Graves a 92% chance of winning the Missouri House 2014 primary. Sam Graves won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Sam Graves — 92% model odds (won)
2. W.A. Hedge — 8% model odds
3. Russ Monchil — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts