Minnesota Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Al Franken a 66% chance of winning the Minnesota Senate 2014 primary. Al Franken won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Al Franken — 66% model odds (won)
  2. Mike Mcfadden — 30% model odds
  3. Steve Carlson — 3% model odds
  4. Heather Johnson — 0% model odds
  5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts