Minnesota House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ray Skip Sandman a 49% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2014 primary. Rick Nolan won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Ray Skip Sandman — 49% model odds
2. Stewart Mills — 45% model odds
3. Rick Nolan — 6% model odds (won)
4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts