Minnesota House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Keith Ellison a 69% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2014 primary. Keith Ellison won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Keith Ellison — 69% model odds (won)
2. Lee Bauer — 31% model odds
3. Doug Daggett — 0% model odds
4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts