Minnesota House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Kline an 85% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2014 primary. John Kline won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John Kline — 85% model odds (won)
2. Mike Obermueller — 11% model odds
3. Paula Overby — 4% model odds
4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts