Minnesota House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tim Walz a 50% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2014 primary. Tim Walz won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Tim Walz — 50% model odds (won)
2. Jim Hagedorn — 50% model odds
3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts