Michigan House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bobby Mckenzie a 79% chance of winning the Michigan House 2014 primary. Dave Trott won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Bobby Mckenzie — 79% model odds
2. Dave Trott — 21% model odds (won)
3. John J. Tatar — 0% model odds
4. Kerry Lynn Bentivolio — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts