Michigan House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Justin Amash a 69% chance of winning the Michigan House 2014 primary. Justin Amash won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Justin Amash — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Tonya Duncan — 31% model odds
  3. Bob Goodrich — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts