Maryland House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andy Harris an 87% chance of winning the Maryland House 2014 primary. Andy Harris won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Andy Harris — 87% model odds (won)
  2. Bill Tilghman — 13% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts